5/31/11

Return to the Mailbag

It's been a while since I've posted some of my reader emails. Usually it's to poke fun at the quality of mail I receive. This time I'm going to do it to answer a few questions posed by readers.

Reader SY writes:
Chris, as I recall you were nearly spot on for the 2008 election. Who do you think will seek and win the GOP nod this time around. And what are their chances against your man BO?

Backed up in Cleveland,
Well Backed up in Cleveland, glad you asked. As I recall I was way off last presidential cycle. I vividly remember saying it was Gore's year. I thought he would get the nod and select Obama as his VP. I saw that as an unbeatable ticket. By August of 2007 I finally realized Gore was not going to do it. After that I really thought Hillary had it tied up but thought if Obama jumped in he would be incredibly hard to beat.  Though you might be referring to my general election analysis in which I would put my map against anybody's.  I missed Obama's electoral college total by one.

I also remember laughing at all the pundits who said the Hillary and Obama primary would destroy Democratic moral with infighting. They were way off because Democrats were so united to take back the White House we would have supported whoever our candidate was. Being the Obama supporter I was since day one, I would have had no problems voting for Hillary in the general had she won the primary. And the millions of Hillary supporters, obviously, were pleased to oblige.

What Republican will seek and win the primary? I have no clue. At lot can happen in a year. Currently Romney seems to be atop the leader board. But he was at the very same place in 2007 as well. He's a moderate that has tried very hard to say the necessary crazy things to get past a Republican primary but he has yet to overcome his actual record on social issues and health care. My guess is he'll meet the same fate this time around as well. Not to mention, I don't see a Mormon winning a Republican primary any time soon.

Palin? She definitely has the wacko support. Other than that this woman is a complete joke. There's no reason we should ever consider a Palin presidency. The same applies to Michelle Bachmann.

Herman Cain? No chance a black man would ever make it out of a GOP primary. I know Republicans think it would be a great idea and a great way to split up the black vote for which I will offer two words, Alan Keyes. The Illinois GOP thought the very same thing to beat Obama in 2004. Black folks stuck to their Dem ticket.

Pawlenty? Very possible.

Ron Paul? Won't happen. Republicans no more want Ron Paul leading them than they want Oprah.

The chances of beating President Obama? A lot can happen in a year. But if the election were held tomorrow there isn't a candidate that would beat him.  I'm no soothsayer and don't want to be.  If I were I sure wouldn't be writing on a blog.  I'd be at the teletrack watching the ponies. 

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